"استصواب رائے برائے پاکستانی عام انتخابات، 2018ء" کے نسخوں کے درمیان فرق
حذف شدہ مندرجات اضافہ شدہ مندرجات
Hammad (تبادلۂ خیال | شراکتیں) |
م خودکار: تبدیلی ربط V2.0 |
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! style="width:60px;" class="unsortable"| [[پاکستان تحریک انصاف|PTI]] |
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نسخہ بمطابق 12:06، 26 جولائی 2018ء
پاکستان میں عام انتخابات 25 جولائی 2018ء کو ہوئے۔ پچھلے عام انتخابات کے بعد کچھ رائے شماری کنندگان نے قومی و صوبائی سطح پر عوام کی رائے لی ہے۔
گرافیائی خلاصے
قومی سطح پر رائے
ذیل میں 2013ء کے بعد عوام کی رائے ہے:
| Date | رائے شماری کنندہ | ناشر | نمونہ | پی ایم ایل این | پی ٹی آئی | پی پی پی | ایم کیو ایم پی | ایم ایم اے* | اے این پی | دیگر | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2018 | 2018ء کے انتخابات | الیکشن کمیشن پاکستان | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 12 Jul 2018 | SDPI[1] | ہیرلڈ | 6,004 | 25% | 29% | 20% | — | 3% | 1% | 20% | 4% |
| 04 Jul 2018 | IPOR[2] | GSP | 3,735 | 32% | 29% | 13% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 20% | 3% |
| 06 Jun 2018 | Gallup Pakistan[3] | Geo/Jang | 3,000 | 26% | 25% | 16% | — | 2% | 1% | 30% | 1% |
| 28 May 2018 | Pulse Consultant[3] | 3,163 | 27% | 30% | 17% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 20% | 3% | |
| May 2018 | Gallup Pakistan[4] | Self | 3,000 | 38% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 13% | |||
| Mar 2018 | Gallup Pakistan[5] | وال اسٹریٹ جرنل | 2,000 | 36% | 24% | 17% | 23% | 12% | |||
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan[6] | Geo/Jang | 3,000 | 34% | 26% | 15% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 19% | 8% |
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant[6] | 3,243 | 36% | 23% | 15% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 22% | 13% | |
| 24 Oct 2017 | IPOR[7][8] | GSP | 4,540 | 38% | 27% | 17% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 11% |
| 24 Apr 2017 | Gallup Pakistan[9] | Self | 1,400 | 36% | 25% | 16% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 16% | 11% |
| 38% | 22% | 17% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 14% | 16% | ||||
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI[10][11] | 3,014 | 27% | 33% | 14% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 20% | 6% | |
| 17 Jul 2014 | SDPI[12] | Herald | 1,354 | 17% | 33% | 19% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 18% | 14% |
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013[13] | ECP | 45,388,404 | 32.77% | 16.92% | 15.23% | 5.41% | 3.22% | 1.00% | 25.57% | 15.85% |
*متحدہ مجلس عمل سیاسی جماعتوں کی ایک اتحادی جماعت ہے جو 2002ء میں بنی اور 2008ء کے انتخابات کے بعد یہ ختم ہو گئی۔ یہ اتحادی جماعت دسمبر 2017ء میں دوبارہ بحال ہو گئی۔ مندرجہ بالا رائے شماری اتحادی جماعت کی بحالی سے پہلے کی ہے، اور اس میں زیادہ تر تائید جمعیت علمائے اسلام (ف) کو حاصل ہے۔
صوبائی سطح پر عوامی رائے
پنجاب، پاکستان
| Date | Pollster | Legislature type | PML (N) | PTI | PPP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2018 | SDPI[1] | unspecified | 40% | 33% | 7% | 20% | 7% |
| 04 Jul 2018 | IPOR[2] | قومی | 50% | 31% | 5% | 14% | 19% |
| 06 Jun 2018 | Gallup Pakistan[3] | unspecified | 40% | 26% | 6% | 28% | 14% |
| 02 Jun 2018 | IPOR[14] | unspecified | 51% | 30% | 5% | 14% | 21% |
| 28 مئی 2018 | Pulse Consultant[3] | unspecified | 43% | 34% | 5% | 18% | 9% |
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan[6] | unspecified | 50% | 31% | 5% | 14% | 19% |
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant[6] | unspecified | 55% | 20% | 7% | 18% | 35% |
| 24 Oct 2017 | IPOR[8] | قومی | 58% | 23% | 6% | 13% | 35% |
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI[10][11] | National | 38% | 35% | 7% | 20% | 3% |
| 17 Jul 2014 | SDPI[12] | پنجاب صوبائی اسمبلی | 25% | 43% | 11% | 21% | 18% |
| 11 مئی 2013 | 2013ء کے صوبائی انتخابات[13] | پنجاب صوبائی اسمبلی | 40.8% | 17.8% | 8.8% | 32.6% | 23.0% |
شمالی پنجاب
Districts mainly include Multan, Lodhran, MuzzafarGarh, DG khan, Rajanpur, Bahawalpur and Rahim Yar Khan.
| Date | Pollster | PML (N) | PTI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jun 2018 | IPOR[14] | 49% | 29% | 8% | 20% |
اسلام آباد اور جنوبی پنجاب
| Date | Pollster | PML (N) | PTI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jun 2018 | IPOR[14] | 42% | 31% | 5% | 11% |
وسطی پنجاب
| Date | Pollster | PML (N) | PTI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jun 2018 | IPOR[14] | 55% | 30% | 3% | 25% |
مغربی پنجاب
| Date | Pollster | PML (N) | PTI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jun 2018 | IPOR[14] | 52% | 31% | 5% | 21% |
سندھ
| Date | Pollster | Legislature type | PPP | MQM (P) | پاکستان مسلم لیگ (ف) | PTI | PML (N) | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2018 | SDPI[1] | unspecified | 54% | 2% | 10% | 14% | 4% | 16% | 40% |
| 04 Jul 2018 | IPOR[2] | National | 35% | 7% | 5% | 18% | 10% | 25% | 17% |
| 06 Jun 2018 | Gallup Pakistan[3] | unspecified | 44% | — | 9% | 4% | 43% | 35% | |
| 28 مئی 2018 | Pulse Consultant[3] | unspecified | 45% | 5% | — | 11% | 4% | 35% | 34% |
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan[6] | unspecified | 44% | 10% | — | 11% | 35% | 33% | |
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant[6] | unspecified | 46% | 7% | — | 10% | — | 37% | 36% |
| 24 Oct 2017 | IPOR[8] | قومی | 52% | 11% | 2% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 38% |
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI[10][11] | قومی | 41% | 5% | — | 21% | 13% | 20% | 20% |
| 17 جولائی 2014 | SDPI[12] | Provincial | 50% | 20% | 5% | 25% | 30% | ||
| 11 مئی 2013 | 2013ء کے انتخابات[13] | صوبائی | 32.6% | 25.5% | 11.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 18.1% | 7.1% |
خیبر پختونخوا
| Date | Pollster | Legislature type | PTI | PML (N) | جمیعت علمائے اسلام | ANP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2018 | SDPI[1] | unspecified | 43% | 10% | 11% | 6% | 30% | 31% |
| 04 Jul 2018 | IPOR[2] | قومی | 45% | 12% | 6% | 8% | 29% | 33% |
| 06 Jun 2018 | Gallup Pakistan[3] | unspecified | 57% | 9% | 6% | 6% | 22% | 48% |
| 28 مئی 2018 | Pulse Consultant[3] | unspecified | 57% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 17% | 47% |
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan[6] | unspecified | 47% | 10% | 43% | 37% | ||
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant[6] | unspecified | 53% | 13% | 34% | 40% | ||
| 24 Oct 2017 | IPOR[8] | قومی | 62% | 10% | 1% | 5% | 22% | 52% |
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI[10][11] | قومی | 50% | 15% | 7% | 7% | 21% | 35% |
| 17 Jul 2014 | SDPI[12] | صوبائی | 40% | — | 13% | 12% | 35% | 27% |
| 11 مئی 2013 | 2013ء کے انتخابات[13] | خیبر پختونخوا کی صوبائی اسمبلی | 19.3% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 40.9% | 3.4% |
بلوچستان
| Date | Pollster | Legislature type | جمیعت علمائے اسلام | PMAP | PML (N) | BNP | NP | PPP | ANP | PTI | Others | BAP | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul 2018 | SDPI[1] | unspecified | 8% | 4% | 11% | 6% | — | 15% | — | 11% | 45% | 4% | |
| 04 Jul 2018 | IPOR[2] | قومی | 12% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 5% | 16% | 4% | 8% | 35% | 7% | 4% |
| 06 Jun 2018 | Gallup Pakistan[3] | unspecified | 23% | 9% | 2% | 14% | 11% | 20% | 4% | 5% | 12% | 3% | |
| 28 مئی 2018 | Pulse Consultant[3] | unspecified | 11% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 36% | 3% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 24% |
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan[6] | unspecified | 22% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 5% | 10% | — | 4% |
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant[6] | unspecified | 5% | 0% | 39% | 8% | 0% | 5% | 7% | 21% | 15% | 18% | |
| 24 Oct 2017 | IPOR[8] | National | — | 6% | 15% | 8% | 1% | 9% | 2% | 33% | 26% | 18% | |
| 27 Aug 2015 | SDPI[10][11] | National | 18% | — | 5% | — | 10% | 12% | 4% | 51% | 6% | ||
| 17 جولائی 2014 | SDPI[12] | صوبائی | — | 23% | 22% | — | 14% | 41% | 1% | ||||
| 11 مئی 2013 | 2013ء کے انتخابات[13] | Provincial | 15.8% | 12.8% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 40.9% | 3.0% | |
حلقوں کی سطح پر جماعتوں کی مقبولیت
- Colour key
† Exit Poll
‡ By election result
حلقہ این اے۔4
| Date | Pollster | Sample | PTI | PML (N) | JI | ANP | PPP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2017‡ | By-election 2017 | 131,298 | 34.8% | 18.9% | 5.4% | 18.9% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 15.9% |
| 26 Oct 2017† | CPDI[15] | 1,742 | 43% | 16% | 8% | 20% | 9% | 6% | 23% |
| 19 Oct 2017 | IPOR[16] | 1,313 | 41% | 18% | 4% | 9% | 9% | 19% | 25% |
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013[13] | 138,555 | 39.8% | 14.7% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 13.5% | 25.1% |
حلقہ این اے۔53
| Date | Pollster | Sample | PTI | PML (N) | PPP | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb 2018 | IPOR[17] | 598 | 37% | 41% | 2% | 20% | 4% |
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013[13] | 236,624 | 46.6% | 43.2% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
حلقہ این اے۔120
| Date | Pollster | Sample | PML (N) | PTI | Others | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 September 2017‡ | By-election 2017 | 125,129 | 49.4% | 37.6% | 13.0% | 11.8% |
| 17 September 2017† | CPDI[18] | 1,433 | 46% | 40% | 14% | 6% |
| 12 September 2017 | Pulse Consultant[19] | 1,520 | 62% | 23% | 15% | 39% |
| 10 September 2017 | Gallup Pakistan[20] | 1,500 | 53% | 29% | 18% | 24% |
| 06 September 2017 | IPOR[21] | 2,198 | 49% | 34% | 17% | 15% |
| 11 May 2013 | Election 2013[13] | 153,328 | 60.5% | 34.6% | 4.9% | 25.9% |
رائے برائے سیاست دان
نواز شریف کی نااہلیت/کا استعفیٰ
| Date | Pollster | Sample | Agree (Right) |
Disagree (Wrong) |
Don’t Know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 April 2018 | Gallup Pakistan[22] | 1,586 | 53% | 40% | 7% | 13% |
| 01 Nov 2017 | Gallup Pakistan[6] | 3,000 | 55% | 33% | 11% | 22% |
| 54% | 31% | 15% | 23% | |||
| 25 Oct 2017 | Pulse Consultant[6] | 3,243 | 48% | 31% | 21% | 17% |
| 47% | 28% | 25% | 19% | |||
| 24 Oct 2017 | GSP[8] | 4,540 | 65% | 33% | 2% | 32% |
| 69% | 28% | 3% | 39% | |||
| 28 July 2017 | وزیر اعظم نواز شریف کو عدالت عظمیٰ نے نااہل قرار دے دیا | |||||
نواز شریف بمقابلہ عمران خان
| Date | Pollster | نواز شریف | عمران خان | Don’t Know | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2018 | Gallup Pakistan[4] | 50% | 45% | 5% | 5% |
| March 2018 | Gallup Pakistan[5] | 49% | 46% | 5% | 3% |
| (undefined) 2017 | Gallup Pakistan[5] | 51% | 39% | 10% | 12% |
| (undefined) 2016 | Gallup Pakistan[5] | 57% | 37% | 6% | 20% |
| (undefined) 2015 | Gallup Pakistan[5] | 59% | 35% | 6% | 24% |
حوالہ جات
- ^ ا ب پ ت ٹ "Survey shows elections too close to call"
- ^ ا ب پ ت ٹ "National Survey of Current Political Survey in Pakistan" (PDF)
- ^ ا ب پ ت ٹ ث ج چ ح خ "Elections Exclusive: 3 poll results in! Who will you vote for Pakistan?"۔ geo.tv
- ^ ا ب "Dr. Ijaz Shafi Gilani, Chairman Gallup Pakistan talks about the changing trends in public opinion and motivations of the voters with respect to the upcoming Election on Jirga with SaleemKhanSafi on Geo News"۔ Gallup Pakistan۔ 21 May 2018
- ^ ا ب پ ت ٹ Saeed Shah (25 April 2018)۔ "Trial of Ex-Leader Rattles Pakistan's Democracy"۔ [www.wsj.com]
- ^ ا ب پ ت ٹ ث ج چ ح خ د ڈ Manzar Elahi، Sajjad Haider (24 November 2017)۔ "PML-N remains most popular party, Nawaz most favourite leader: survey"۔ جیو ٹی وی
- ↑ "Shehbaz favoured by Pakistan's majority to become premier: GSP survey"۔ دنیا نیوز۔ 28 October 2017
- ^ ا ب پ ت ٹ ث "National Public Opinion Survey"۔ Global Strategic Partners۔ 24 October 2017
- ↑ "Gallup Public Pulse on Panama Leaks Verdict – 24 Hours after the Announcement"۔ Gallup Pakistan۔ 24 April 2017
- ^ ا ب پ ت ٹ Abid Q Suleri (2015)۔ "Political Barometer, 2015" (PDF)۔ Sustainable Development Policy Institute
- ^ ا ب پ ت ٹ Ismail Sheikh (28 October 2015)۔ "PTI more popular than PML-N: survey"۔ دی ایکسپریس ٹریبیون۔ اخذ شدہ بتاریخ 29 مارچ 2018
- ^ ا ب پ ت ٹ "State of the nation: public opinion of the government's first year in power"۔ Dawn۔ اخذ شدہ بتاریخ 29 مارچ 2018
- ^ ا ب پ ت ٹ ث ج چ "Party wise total vote bank" (PDF)۔ Government of Pakistan۔ 27 May 2013۔ 08 اکتوبر 2017 میں اصل (PDF) سے آرکائیو شدہ
- ^ ا ب پ ت ٹ "A Quantative Study Report on the Political Continuum of Punjab" (PDF)۔ ipor.com.pk
- ↑ "Exit Polls in NA-4 (Peshawar – IV) By-Elections Give Clear Lead to PTI"۔ Centre for Peace and Development Initiatives۔ 26 October 2017
- ↑ "NA-04 Peshawar" (PDF)۔ Institute for Public Opinion Research۔ 25 October 2017
- ↑ "A Quantitative Study Report on the Political Continuum of NA-53" (PDF)۔ Institute for Public Opinion Research۔ 1 March 2018
- ↑ "Exit Polls in NA 120 Bye-Elections Show Slender Lead by PMLN NA-120 (Lahore III)"۔ Centre for Peace and Development Initiatives۔ 17 September 2017
- ↑ "Survey shows easy sailing for PML-N in NA-120 by-polls"۔ The News PK۔ 12 September 2017
- ↑ "NA-120 Pre-election Survey by Gallup Pakistan" (PDF)۔ Gallup Pakistan۔ 17 September 2017
- ↑ "71pc won't change their voting behaviour in NA-120: survey"۔ The News PK۔ 6 September 2017
- ↑ "Public Opinion on Supreme Court Ruling in Elections Reforms Case" (PDF)۔ 5 April 2018